// Event · Tier C

ESL Challenger League Season 52: Europe - Cup 4

18 Aug – 20 Aug 2026 Online $7,000 Finished
Winner
C
Color
4–1 · Europe #45

No forecast of ours was made before it started.

How it finished

Results from bo3
Winner
C
Color
4–1Europe #45
Final
SPARTA
3–3Europe #73
Semi-final
Metizport
5–0Europe #47
Semi-final
OG
4–1Europe #63

Winners and losers

Valve's points · release of 7 Sep
Fire Flux 2–2Quarter-final +30
Metizport 5–0Semi-final +26
Entropy 1–2Out before the quarter-finals +7
Misa 1–2Out before the quarter-finals -9
Omega 0–2Out before the quarter-finals -12
OG 4–1Semi-final -19
EAC 2–2Quarter-final -28
SPARTA 3–3Final -34
Fortress 0–2Out before the quarter-finals -38
DONSTU 0–2Out before the quarter-finals -42
The Last Resort 2–2Quarter-final -83
Strael Bora 0–2Out before the quarter-finals -122
PCIFIC 2–1Quarter-final -128
MOUZ NXT 1–2Out before the quarter-finals -134
Color 4–1Winner —
Permitta 1–2Out before the quarter-finals —
How these numbers are made
  • Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 2 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
  • Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
  • Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
  • Points are Valve's change between its releases of 3 August and 7 September, so other events and ageing move them too.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.