Who qualified for the Major
The cut has passed. Valve's invitation standings of invite these 32 teams to the Singapore Major. Every team, and what our last forecast before the cut said: Race to the Major.
The 32 teams invited to the Singapore Major
// Valve's invitation standings of · beside each, our last forecast before the cut,Europe 18
MOUZEurope standing #1our last forecast >99%
VitalityEurope standing #2our last forecast >99%
AuroraEurope standing #3our last forecast >99%
SpiritEurope standing #4our last forecast >99%
BetBoomEurope standing #5our last forecast >99%
FalconsEurope standing #6our last forecast >99%
FUTEurope standing #7our last forecast >99%
NemigaEurope standing #8our last forecast >99%
G2Europe standing #9our last forecast >99%
1WINEurope standing #10our last forecast >99%
Natus VincereEurope standing #11our last forecast >99%
AstralisEurope standing #12our last forecast >99%
Ninjas in PyjamasEurope standing #13our last forecast >99%
PARIVISIONEurope standing #14our last forecast >99%
HEROICEurope standing #15our last forecast >99%
FaZeEurope standing #16our last forecast >99%
Eternal FireEurope standing #17our last forecast >99%
100 ThievesEurope standing #18our last forecast 66%
FURIA
Legacy
MIBR
Liquid
9z
M80
DENDELE
ImperialAsia-Pacific 5
The MongolZAsia-Pacific standing #1our last forecast >99%
BC.GameAsia-Pacific standing #2our last forecast >99%
FlyQuestAsia-Pacific standing #3our last forecast 82%
Chinggis WarriorsAsia-Pacific standing #4our last forecast 83%
Lynn VisionAsia-Pacific standing #5our last forecast 50%
Our last forecast before the cut, on 1 November 2026, gave 32 of the 32 invited teams 50% or more. It gave 50% or more to one team Valve did not invite: TYLOO.
How our forecast did
// 36 forecasts before the cut, scored against Valve's invitationsCloser than Valve's standings on who reached the Major: Brier over each region's top 40 on every forecast's day, lower is closer. Valve's standings are the forecast you get by assuming nothing changes before the cut. Every forecast against the cut →
Stage 1's first round
// By our reading of the rulebook · Valve's global standing of 2 Nov · 1 against 9, 2 against 10 · best of oneThe rulebook seeds Stage 1 by Valve's global standing and pairs the top half with the bottom half, so we can read the first round already. A team that withdraws before the Major changes it. Our Pick'em forecast for Stage 1 comes once the round is drawn.
The field by our Elo
// Our per-map Elo of 8 Nov · teams with a match in the last 90 days28 of the 32 invited teams are in our top 32 by Elo. Valve invites by its standings; our Elo is our own rating from match results, each weighted by the opponent's strength.
Strongest by Elo, not invited
Monte
Weakest by Elo, invited
- Chinggis Warriors#4 Asia-Pacific · Stage 11,535#80 by Elo
- BC.Game#2 Asia-Pacific · Stage 11,579#60 by Elo
Wildcard#9 Americas · Stage 11,631#39 by Elo
Who moved before the cut
// Valve's regional standings, 5 Oct to 2 Nov · each region's top 40Up
- PRIVATE#70 to #35 Europe +35
- 1WIN#32 to #10 Europe · Stage 2+22
- Natus Vincere#28 to #11 Europe · Stage 2+17
Virtus.pro#40 to #23 Europe +17- PARIVISION#30 to #14 Europe · Stage 1+16
Down
Alliance#18 to #38 Europe −20
Luminosity#13 to #30 Europe −17
magic#17 to #31 Europe −14
B8#10 to #21 Europe −11
Haunted House#27 to #37 Asia-Pacific −10
The simulation plays each match on our own Elo rating, which weights every result by the opponent's strength. On 7,173 Ranked matches it had not seen, the favourite won 64.8%. How it is scored, and every team by it →