Outside the profile on two of seven. They match it on bounty collected, opponent network, LAN wins, win rate and head to head.Band is the other 4 Asia-Pacific sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Down on two of seven since the 3 August release. Up on head to head.Dashed is FlyQuest's own profile on 3 Aug · same scale
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered42Bounty collected55Opponent network40LAN wins74Activity29Win rate51Head to head68
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among the rosters Valve ranks
Asia-Pacific has 5 slots: 1st place enters at Stage 2; 2nd to 5th start in Stage 1. FlyQuest hold the 4th.
95%FlyQuest hold a Stage 1 slot, 109 points clear of THUNDER dOWNUNDERChance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 7 Sep 2026
Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their median place, with the range the middle 80% of runs fall in.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 27 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
17 Jul – 18 Jul
HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026
Record5–0
Head to head+24.97
Still counts86%
These results are down to 86% of their original weight.
5 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Among their most valuable. It holds 9 of the 27 slots that count, level with 1 other event.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 27 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
6 Jun – 7 Jun
Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2
Record0–3
Head to head-6.27
Still counts59%
These results are down to 59% of their original weight.
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -6.27.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 27 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
2 Jun – 5 Jun
Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major 2026 Stage 1
Record3–2
Head to head+19.26
Still counts57%
These results are down to 57% of their original weight.
5 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Among their most valuable. It holds 9 of the 27 slots that count, level with 1 other event.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 27 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
11 May – 12 May
Asian Champions League 2026
Record1–2
Head to head-10.96
Still counts42%
These results are down to 42% of their original weight.
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 27 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
31 Mar – 5 Apr
GangKui Cup Season 2
Record3–1
Head to head-0.30
Still counts16%
These results are down to 16% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
4 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 27 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
11 Mar
CS Asia Championships 2026: Closed Qualifier
Record0–1
Head to head-0.05
Still counts0%
These results are down to 0% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
1 match
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -0.05.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 27 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
How these numbers are made
Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 7 September 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three
What the rating is made of
Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For FlyQuest that is 1,131.0 plus 18.7.
The two parts
Valve's · release 7 Sep 2026
Starting value1,131.0
+
Head to head+18.7
=
Points1,150
The head-to-head correction is 1.6% of the total. Almost everything about where they sit comes from the four factors, not from whom they have beaten.
The four factors
Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved.0.367median 0.361
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved.0.348median 0.316
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten.0.089median 0.080
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field.0.732median 0.577
FlyQuestMedian of the 10 chasing the slots in Asia-Pacific
0.841 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
Valve ranked 401 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
Valve's file prints 1,131.0; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.
FlyQuest: At or above the median of the 10 chasing the slots on all four factors.
Our Elo answers who wins a match not yet played; Valve's standing measures results weighted by prize money. How our Elo is scored →
The last 27 matches Valve counted · oldest first
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Every match by opponent strength
Rare Atom #142 −27.0Liquid #17 +15.5+30+150−15−30#1#5#10#20#50#100#200FlyQuest #52Stronger opponentWeaker opponent
6 of the 27 matches were against sides in the world's top 30, and the largest change in any of them was 15.5 points.
How these numbers are made
Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
TYLOO
Lynn Vision
FlyQuest
DEPO
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
