Outside the profile on four of seven. They match it on activity and win rate and beat it on head to head.Band is the other 18 Europe sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Up on three of seven since the 3 August release. Down on opponent network and win rate.Dashed is Eternal Fire's own profile on 3 Aug · same scale
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered45Bounty collected56Opponent network56LAN wins38Activity60Win rate57Head to head98
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among the rosters Valve ranks
Europe has 18 slots: the top 6 go straight to Stage 3; 7th to 12th enter at Stage 2; 13th to 18th start in Stage 1. Eternal Fire are 51st, 33 places outside.
18%Eternal Fire are 51st, 33 places outside the 18, 297 points behind HEROICChance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 7 Sep 2026
Eternal FireComes up across the cutFalls outThe cut
100 Thieves and Ninjas in Pyjamas come up into the 18, Alliance and magic fall out.
How these numbers are made
Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their median place, with the range the middle 80% of runs fall in.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
Their most valuable event. It holds 7 of the thirty slots that count, more than any other.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -4.89.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
30 Aug
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–0
Head to head+2.89
Still counts100%
1 match
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
24 Aug
Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Global Open Qualifier
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -1.55.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
7 Aug – 8 Aug
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record2–1
Head to head-22.35
Still counts100%
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -12.73.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
18 Jul – 24 Jul
European Pro League Series 8
Record4–0
Head to head+55.91
Still counts90%
4 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
23 Jun – 24 Jun
Super DraculaN Season 1
Record0–2
Head to head-16.65
Still counts70%
These results are down to 70% of their original weight.
2 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -16.65.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
19 May – 30 May
BC.Game Masters Season 2 Europe Series 2
Record4–1
Head to head+26.10
Still counts53%
These results are down to 53% of their original weight.
5 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
27 May – 29 May
CCT Europe 2026 Series 2
Record1–1
Head to head+9.86
Still counts53%
These results are down to 53% of their original weight.
2 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
9 May – 18 May
NODWIN Clutch Series 8
Record3–1
Head to head+10.52
Still counts45%
These results are down to 45% of their original weight.
4 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
29 Apr – 2 May
Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier
Record1–1
Head to head+5.46
Still counts34%
These results are down to 34% of their original weight.
2 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
23 Apr – 26 Apr
ESL Challenger League Season 51: Europe - Cup 4
Record2–2
Head to head-13.92
Still counts31%
These results are down to 31% of their original weight.
4 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -13.92.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
How these numbers are made
Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 7 September 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three
What the rating is made of
Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For Eternal Fire that is 934.5 plus 147.5.
The two parts
Valve's · release 7 Sep 2026
Starting value934.5
+
Head to head+147.5
=
Points1,082
The head-to-head correction is 13.6% of the total.
The four factors
Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved.0.386median 0.658
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved.0.353median 0.558
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten.0.160median 0.287
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field.0.224median 0.838
Eternal FireMedian of the 24 chasing the slots in Europe
0.841 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
Valve ranked 401 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
Valve's file prints 934.5; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.
Eternal Fire: Below the median of the 24 chasing the slots on all four factors.
Our Elo answers who wins a match not yet played; Valve's standing measures results weighted by prize money. How our Elo is scored →
The last 30 matches Valve counted · oldest first
WWWWLLLLWWWWLLWWLWWLWWWWLWLWLL
Every match by opponent strength
MIBR #21 +28.1NADE (unranked) −27.6+30+150−15−30#1#5#10#20#50#100#200Eternal Fire #67Stronger opponentWeaker opponent
8 of the 41 matches were against sides in the world's top 30, and the largest change in any of them was 28.1 points.
How these numbers are made
Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
WW
Eternal Fire
GenOne
Butterfly
Nordic Partners
