// Event · Tier A
Stake Ranked Episode 5
26 Oct – 29 Oct 2026
LAN
8 teams $100,000 4 days before the cut
Why it matters
Valve's event weight
0.50
From its VRS weight on HLTV of $100,000, through Valve's curve. It scales what every result here is worth.
Teams in the race known to attend
0
Between 1 and 99% for the Major, on the event's list or in bo3's fixtures. Our model expects 6 more.
Timing
4 days before the cut
TodayCut · 2 Nov
Starts in 25 days. Everything here still counts on the day.
Race impact is ours: how many points of Major chance this event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race. For each team, how likely a top-half or a bottom-half finish is here in our runs, and how far apart its chance of the Major is after each. After the cut it is 0.
Who it matters to
No team in the race is known to attend yet. Our model expects 6 there, but names only teams on the event's list or in bo3's fixtures.
The field
How these numbers are made
- Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 1 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
- Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
- Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
- The other 8 seats are filled in each run from who usually plays where; no team is named there.
- The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.