Outside the profile on two of seven. They match it on opponent network, LAN wins, win rate and head to head and beat it on activity.Band is the other 18 Europe sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Up on six of seven since the 3 August release. Down on head to head.Dashed is fnatic's own profile on 3 Aug · same scale
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered57Bounty collected60Opponent network83LAN wins93Activity90Win rate77Head to head7
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among the rosters Valve ranks
Europe has 18 slots: the top 6 go straight to Stage 3; 7th to 12th enter at Stage 2; 13th to 18th start in Stage 1. fnatic are 26th, 8 places outside.
7%fnatic are 26th, 8 places outside the 18, 69 points behind HEROICChance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 7 Sep 2026
100 Thieves and Ninjas in Pyjamas come up into the 18, Alliance and magic fall out.
How these numbers are made
Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their median place, with the range the middle 80% of runs fall in.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -31.04.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
4 Sep
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: European Open Qualifier 1
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -26.13.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by +0.17.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Their most valuable event. It holds 9 of the thirty slots that count, more than any other.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
12 Jul – 14 Jul
ESL Challenger League Season 52: Europe - Cup 1
Record5–0
Head to head+31.51
Still counts83%
These results are down to 83% of their original weight.
5 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
13 Jun – 14 Jun
Journey Summer 2026
Record3–2
Head to head-18.05
Still counts63%
These results are down to 63% of their original weight.
5 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
18 May – 30 May
BC.Game Masters Season 2 Europe Series 2
Record4–3
Head to head-33.01
Still counts53%
These results are down to 53% of their original weight.
7 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
19 May – 27 May
CCT Europe 2026 Series 2
Record3–1
Head to head-12.88
Still counts51%
These results are down to 51% of their original weight.
4 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
LEternal FireMay 27A loss-14.20
WALGOMay 23A win outside the ten best+0.39
WBRUTEMay 21A win outside the ten best+0.48
WFalcons ForceMay 19A win outside the ten best+0.45
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -12.88.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
12 May – 15 May
CCT Europe 2026 Series 1
Record2–1
Head to head-5.36
Still counts43%
These results are down to 43% of their original weight.
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
23 Apr – 2 May
ESL Challenger League Season 51: Europe - Cup 4
Record5–2
Head to head-14.46
Still counts35%
These results are down to 35% of their original weight.
7 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -14.46.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
12 Apr – 23 Apr
Conquest of Prague 2026: Online Stage
Record1–3
Head to head-16.04
Still counts28%
These results are down to 28% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
4 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -16.04.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
30 Mar – 31 Mar
DraculaN Season 6
Record2–2
Head to head-0.30
Still counts13%
These results are down to 13% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
4 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
24 Mar
BC.Game Masters Championship
Record1–2
Head to head-5.29
Still counts9%
These results are down to 9% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -5.29.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
How these numbers are made
Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 7 September 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three
What the rating is made of
Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For fnatic that is 1,388.2 minus 78.1.
The two parts
Valve's · release 7 Sep 2026
Starting value1,388.2
+
Head to head−78.1
=
Points1,310
The head-to-head correction is 6.0% of the total.
The four factors
Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved.0.427median 0.658
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved.0.391median 0.558
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten.0.277median 0.287
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field.0.983median 0.853
fnaticMedian of the 24 chasing the slots in Europe
0.841 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
Valve ranked 401 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
Valve's file prints 1,388.2; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.
fnatic: Above the median of the 24 chasing the slots on LAN wins, below on bounty offered, bounty collected and opponent network.
Our Elo answers who wins a match not yet played; Valve's standing measures results weighted by prize money. How our Elo is scored →
The last 30 matches Valve counted · oldest first
LWLWLWWWLLWWWWWWWWLWWWWLWWLWWL
Every match by opponent strength
Drama #300 −31.0HOTU #25 +16.8+40+200−20−40#1#5#10#20#50#100#200fnatic #33Stronger opponentWeaker opponent
7 of the 57 matches were against sides in the world's top 30, and the largest change in any of them was 16.8 points.
How these numbers are made
Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
1win
JiJieHao
fnatic
3DMAX
EYEBALLERS
BIG
