Outside the profile on two of seven. They match it on bounty offered, opponent network and head to head and beat it on activity and win rate.Band is the other 9 Americas sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Up on four of seven since the 3 August release. Down on LAN wins.Dashed is Imperial's own profile on 3 Aug · same scale
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered65Bounty collected52Opponent network57LAN wins50Activity88Win rate94Head to head87
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among the rosters Valve ranks
Americas has 9 slots: the top 2 go straight to Stage 3; 3rd place enters at Stage 2; 4th to 9th start in Stage 1. Imperial are 11th, 2 places outside.
83%Imperial are 11th, 2 places outside the 9, 82 points behind NRGChance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 7 Sep 2026
Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their median place, with the range the middle 80% of runs fall in.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
Their calendar to the cut
Events they are known to play
No event before the cut where they are known to play.
Our model also expects them at 2 more events before the cut.
// Act two
How they got here
56 matches in Valve's six-month window, 40 won, across 16 events. Every figure below is Valve's own, taken from the published standings.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
4 Sep
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: South American Open Qualifier 1
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
25 Aug – 1 Sep
ESL Challenger League Season 52: South America - Cup 1
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
28 Jul – 31 Jul
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026: South American Qualifier
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -19.68.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
23 Jul
CCT South America 2026 Series 4
Record0–1
Head to head-24.89
Still counts89%
These results are down to 89% of their original weight.
1 match
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -24.89.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
16 Jul – 19 Jul
BetBoom RUSH B! Summit 2026: Part Four
Record3–2
Head to head-1.83
Still counts87%
These results are down to 87% of their original weight.
5 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Their most valuable event. It holds 7 of the thirty slots that count, more than any other.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
11 Jul – 12 Jul
Thunderpick World Championship 2026: South American Series 2
Record3–0
Head to head+25.98
Still counts82%
These results are down to 82% of their original weight.
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
6 Jul – 9 Jul
CCT South America 2026 Series 3
Record4–0
Head to head+31.08
Still counts80%
These results are down to 80% of their original weight.
4 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
28 May
ESL Challenger League Season 51: South America
Record0–1
Head to head-11.03
Still counts52%
These results are down to 52% of their original weight.
1 match
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -11.03.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
7 May – 10 May
CCT South America 2026 Series 1
Record2–1
Head to head-4.54
Still counts40%
These results are down to 40% of their original weight.
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -4.54.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
24 Apr – 9 May
Odyssey Cup Brazil 2026
Record3–2
Head to head-13.42
Still counts39%
These results are down to 39% of their original weight.
5 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
LUNO MILLEMay 9A loss-9.97
WFake do BiruMay 1A win outside the ten best+1.92
LYawaraApr 26A loss-7.49
WMETANOIA WolvesApr 24A win outside the ten best+1.27
WQUINTESSÊNCIAApr 24A win outside the ten best+0.85
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -13.42.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
26 Apr – 3 May
ESL Challenger League Season 51: South America - Cup 4
Record5–0
Head to head+14.15
Still counts35%
These results are down to 35% of their original weight.
5 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
WBounty HuntersMay 3A win outside the ten best+4.44
WGalorysMay 1A win outside the ten best+4.19
WFake do BiruApr 29A win outside the ten best+1.91
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by +14.15.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
2 Apr – 3 Apr
Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo
Record1–2
Head to head-5.72
Still counts15%
These results are down to 15% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
27 Mar – 29 Mar
FERJEE In House 2026
Record2–2
Head to head-0.15
Still counts12%
These results are down to 12% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
4 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
21 Mar – 22 Mar
Generation NSTLGA Washington Open
Record1–1
Head to head-1.67
Still counts7%
These results are down to 7% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
2 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
How these numbers are made
Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 7 September 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three
What the rating is made of
Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For Imperial that is 1,035.3 plus 50.1.
The two parts
Valve's · release 7 Sep 2026
Starting value1,035.3
+
Head to head+50.1
=
Points1,085
The head-to-head correction is 4.6% of the total. Almost everything about where they sit comes from the four factors, not from whom they have beaten.
The four factors
Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved.0.477median 0.535
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved.0.340median 0.517
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten.0.182median 0.204
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field.0.338median 0.715
ImperialMedian of the 14 chasing the slots in Americas
0.841 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
Valve ranked 401 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
Valve's file prints 1,035.3; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.
Imperial: Below the median of the 14 chasing the slots on all four factors.
Our Elo answers who wins a match not yet played; Valve's standing measures results weighted by prize money. How our Elo is scored →
The last 30 matches Valve counted · oldest first
WWWWLWWWLLWLLWWWWWWWWWLWWWWWWL
Every match by opponent strength
BESTIA #85 +13.6BESTIA Academy #215 −24.9+30+150−15−30#1#5#10#20#50#100#200Imperial #65Stronger opponentWeaker opponent
1 of the 56 matches were against sides in the world's top 30, and the largest change in any of them was 0.1 points.
How these numbers are made
Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
NRG
Wildcard
Imperial
SportsBetExpert
Fluxo
