// Event · Tier C
Fiesta Series 1: Closed Qualifier
12 Aug – 17 Aug 2026
Online
Finished
No forecast of ours was made before it started.
Winners and losers
FORZE Reload
2–2
benched gods
3–0
Fire Flux
2–2
Vexar
3–1
NEW VISION
2–1
DONSTU
1–2
ROUNDS
1–2
Phantom Academy
2–2
Arch
0–2
train launcher
0–2
eternal premium
1–2
Privateer
0–2
Subtop De France
0–2
Revise
3–0Winner
Raccoons
3–0
GUESS
1–2
How these numbers are made
- Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 1 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
- Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
- Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
- Points are Valve's change between its releases of 3 August and 7 September, so other events and ageing move them too.
- The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.