// Event · Tier B

Fiesta Series 2

11 Sep – 23 Sep 2026 Online $20,000 Finished
Winner
Illyrians
7–2

No forecast of ours was made before it started.

How it finished

Results from bo3
Winner
Illyrians
7–2Outside the top 40
Final
STATE
3–1Europe #78
Semi-final
WW
2–1Europe #49
Semi-final
e
ex-Zero Tenacity
5–3Europe #58

Winners and losers

Our reckoning, until Valve's release

Valve's points come with its first release after the event. Until then, our reckoning of what this event alone did to each team's points.

Illyrians 7–2Winner +467
KAMUI 4–2Quarter-final +203
Teletubisie 3–3Out before the quarter-finals +60
Phantom Academy 3–2Out before the quarter-finals +55
STATE 3–1Final +39
benched gods 3–1Out before the quarter-finals +35
Vexar 4–2Quarter-final +33
UNiTY 4–1Quarter-final +33
Saint Sinners 1–3Out before the quarter-finals +17
TrafficPills 1–3Out before the quarter-finals +10
WW 2–1Semi-final +4
Black Phoenix 1–1Quarter-final 0
Leo 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -5
ex-Zero Tenacity 5–3Semi-final -7
Lavked 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -11
INOX Division 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -12
Falcons Force 2–3Out before the quarter-finals -14
ENCE 2–3Out before the quarter-finals -17
UPGRADE 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -19
PCIFIC 2–3Out before the quarter-finals -19
BET-M 0–1Out before the quarter-finals -23
Fortress 0–3Out before the quarter-finals -23
Honvéd 1–3Out before the quarter-finals -24
Permitta 0–3Out before the quarter-finals -32
How these numbers are made
  • Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 1 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
  • Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
  • Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
  • Points are our reckoning until Valve's next release: every team's points on 23 September, worked out with the event and without it. The difference is the event's alone. Every match counts as Ranked; Valve may not count them all.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.