// Event · Tier C

Hotspawn 10k Showdown: Closed Qualifier

25 Sep – 27 Sep 2026 Online Finished
Winner
BASEMENT BOYS
2–1 · Europe #65

No forecast of ours was made before it started.

How it finished

Results from bo3
Winner
BASEMENT BOYS
2–1Europe #65
Final
o
overTIME
1–2Outside the top 40
Semi-final
G2 Ares
2–1Europe #80
Semi-final
Famalicão
1–2Europe #222

Winners and losers

Our reckoning, until Valve's release

Valve's points come with its first release after the event. Until then, our reckoning of what this event alone did to each team's points.

BASEMENT BOYS won the tournament, but overTIME gained more from it: 98 points against -12. What counts is whom you beat and what it replaced in your ten best.

overTIME 1–2Final +98
Famalicão 1–2Semi-final +35
EAC 2–0Quarter-final +21
G2 Ares 2–1Semi-final +15
STATE 2–0Quarter-final +15
BASEMENT BOYS 2–1Winner -12
Lilmix 0–2Quarter-final -26
The Last Resort 0–2Quarter-final -47
How these numbers are made
  • Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 1 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
  • Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
  • Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
  • Points are our reckoning until Valve's next release: every team's points on 27 September, worked out with the event and without it. The difference is the event's alone. Every match counts as Ranked; Valve may not count them all.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.