// Event · Tier C
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: North American Open Qualifier 1
5 Sep 2026
Online
Finished
No forecast of ours was made before it started.
Winners and losers
EMPIRE
1–1
Incognito
1–1
Marsborne
2–0Winner
Villainous
0–1
Without a Roof
2–0
Celestial
0–1
The Homies
0–1
Unreal Nightmare
0–1
How these numbers are made
- Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 1 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
- Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
- Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
- Points are Valve's change between its releases of 3 August and 7 September, so other events and ageing move them too.
- The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.