Outside the profile on four of seven. They match it on opponent network and beat it on win rate and head to head.Band is the other 5 Asia-Pacific sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Up on six of seven since the 3 August release.Dashed is Alter Ego's own profile on 3 Aug · same scale
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered17Bounty collected32Opponent network31LAN wins30Activity26Win rate80Head to head93
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among the rosters Valve ranks
Asia-Pacific has 5 slots: 1st place enters at Stage 2; 2nd to 5th start in Stage 1. Alter Ego are 11th, 6 places outside.
8%Alter Ego are 11th, 6 places outside the 5, 305 points behind DEPOChance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 7 Sep 2026
Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their median place, with the range the middle 80% of runs fall in.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
Their most valuable event. It holds 11 of the thirty slots that count, more than any other.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
26 Aug
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–0
Head to head+18.25
Still counts100%
1 match
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
23 Aug
Intel Extreme Masters Beijing 2026: Asian Open Qualifier
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
22 Aug
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–0
Head to head+18.85
Still counts100%
1 match
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
10 Jul
GGMedia Challenger Series Season 1
Record0–1
Head to head-7.83
Still counts80%
These results are down to 80% of their original weight.
1 match
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -7.83.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
11 May – 12 May
Asian Champions League 2026
Record0–2
Head to head-2.91
Still counts41%
These results are down to 41% of their original weight.
2 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -2.91.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
30 Apr – 2 May
Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 Qualifier
Record3–0
Head to head+14.62
Still counts34%
These results are down to 34% of their original weight.
3 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
20 Mar – 26 Mar
ESL Challenger League Season 51: Asia - Cup 2
Record5–2
Head to head+1.72
Still counts10%
These results are down to 10% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
7 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
11 Mar – 12 Mar
CS Asia Championships 2026: Closed Qualifier
Record1–1
Head to head+0.05
Still counts0%
These results are down to 0% of their original weight: almost out of the window.
2 matches
A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.
Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by +0.05.
Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.
How these numbers are made
Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 7 September 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three
What the rating is made of
Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For Alter Ego that is 737.3 plus 71.8.
The two parts
Valve's · release 7 Sep 2026
Starting value737.3
+
Head to head+71.8
=
Points809
The head-to-head correction is 8.9% of the total.
The four factors
Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved.0.275median 0.355
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved.0.269median 0.304
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten.0.052median 0.077
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field.0.113median 0.543
Alter EgoMedian of the 11 chasing the slots in Asia-Pacific
0.841 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
Valve ranked 401 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
Valve's file prints 737.3; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.
Alter Ego: Below the median of the 11 chasing the slots on all four factors.
Our Elo answers who wins a match not yet played; Valve's standing measures results weighted by prize money. How our Elo is scored →
The last 24 matches Valve counted · oldest first
WLWLWWWWLWWWLLLWWWWLWWWL
Every match by opponent strength
Just Swing #200 −18.95star #121 +19.9+20+100−10−20#1#5#10#20#50#100#200Alter Ego #145Stronger opponentWeaker opponent
None of the 24 matches was against a side in the world's top 30.
How these numbers are made
Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
NEXVOID
Rare Atom
Alter Ego
The Huns
