← Race to the Major

Desi Boyz

Americas #25
2 stage 31 stage 26 stage 1
mason · Momo · Pluto · Shooter · Taqi
Outside the profile on six of seven. Below it on bounty offered, bounty collected, opponent network, LAN wins, activity and win rate.Band is the other 9 Americas sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered19 Bounty collected22 Opponent network21 LAN wins38 Activity15 Win rate19 Head to head55
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among each region's top 40
<1%
Chance of a place
at the Major
Desi Boyz are 25th, 16 places outside the 9, 450 points behind Imperial
Chance of the Major · Our simulation to the 2 Nov cut
Americas standing
25th
  1. 23Marsborne
  2. 24ex-Keyd Stars
  3. 25Desi Boyz
  4. 26Yawara
  5. 27Procyon
16 places outside the Major
VRS points
847
World #146 · 450 behind Imperial
// Act one

The verdict

Americas has 9 slots: the top 2 go straight to Stage 3; 3rd place enters at Stage 2; 4th to 9th start in Stage 1. Desi Boyz are 25th, 16 places outside.

<1% Desi Boyz are 25th, 16 places outside the 9, 450 points behind Imperial Chance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 5 Oct 2026

Who they are racing

Americas · 9 slots
CutTeamTodayMajor
1FURIA1 · 1–22, 1 place up at the cut>99
2Legacy2 · 1–21, 1 place down at the cut>99
Stage 3 line
39z3 · 3–64, 1 place up at the cut>99
Stage 2 line
4MIBR4 · 3–53, 1 place down at the cut>99
5Liquid5 · 3–65>99
6M806 · 4–66>99
7Imperial8 · 7–109, 2 places up at the cut82
8NRG8 · 7–10880
9DENDELE8 · 7–107, 2 places down at the cut80
The cut · top 9 go
10Fluxo10 · 8–1211, 1 place up at the cut41
11paiN12 · 10–1410, 1 place down at the cut7
12Voca12 · 10–1515, 3 places up at the cut5
13Wildcard13 · 10–1612, 1 place down at the cut4
14BESTIA14 · 11–16142
15SportsBetExpert14 · 12–1613, 2 places down at the cut<1
16Desi Boyz33 · 28–3925, 9 places up at the cut<1

In the order of their chance of the Major, our simulation's, as Race to the Major orders them; beside each, its median place at the cut and the range the middle 80% of runs put it in. Today is Valve's standing, and the arrow how far the order by chance moves them.

TodayValve's Regional Standings, 5 Oct
1Legacy1,931
2FURIA1,829
3MIBR1,585
49z1,544
5Liquid1,527
6M801,491
7DENDELE1,368
8NRG1,322
9Imperial1,297
10paiN1,287
11Fluxo1,277
12Wildcard1,239
14BESTIA1,189
15Voca1,182
25Desi Boyz847
At the cutOurs · ordered by chance of the Major · median place and range
2Legacy2 · 1–2>99%
1FURIA1 · 1–2>99%
4MIBR4 · 3–5>99%
39z3 · 3–6>99%
5Liquid5 · 3–6>99%
6M806 · 4–6>99%
9DENDELE8 · 7–1080%
8NRG8 · 7–1080%
7Imperial8 · 7–1082%
11paiN12 · 10–147%
10Fluxo10 · 8–1241%
13Wildcard13 · 10–164%
15SportsBetExpert14 · 12–16<1%
14BESTIA14 · 11–162%
12Voca12 · 10–155%
16Desi Boyz33 · 28–39<1%
Desi BoyzComes up across the cutFalls outThe cut
How these numbers are made
  • Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their chance of the Major, as Race to the Major orders them, with each one's median place at the cut and the range the middle 80% of runs fall in. A club further down Valve's standings is listed when its median place reaches the figure.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.

Their calendar to the cut

Events they are known to play
ESL Challenger League Season 52: North America - Cup 3Oct 8 – Oct 15 · Tier B · Online 0impact
// Act two

How they got here

15 matches in Valve's six-month window, 7 won, across 7 events, every figure Valve's own, from the published standings.

25 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–1
Head to head-9.92
Still counts100%
1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L Without a RoofSep 25A loss -9.92
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -9.92.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 21 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

18 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–0
Head to head+13.12
Still counts100%
1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W Overtake SectorSep 18Bounty collected #2Opponent network #1LAN wins #4 +13.12
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network1 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 3 of the 21 slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 21 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

12 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–1
Head to head-11.34
Still counts100%
1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L MarsborneSep 12A loss -11.34
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -11.34.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 21 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

10 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–0
Head to head+8.19
Still counts100%
1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W ZomblersSep 10Bounty collected #4Opponent network #6LAN wins #5 +8.19
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network1 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 3 of the 21 slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 21 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

3 Sep – 6 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record2–3
Head to head-3.23
Still counts100%
5 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L Without a RoofSep 6A loss -12.47
L LAGSep 6A loss -8.53
W Wanted GoonsSep 5Bounty collected #5Opponent network #4LAN wins #6 +7.47
L SportsBetExpertSep 4A loss -4.11
W Chicken CoopSep 3Bounty collected #1Opponent network #3LAN wins #7 +14.41
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected2 / 10 Opponent network2 / 10 LAN wins2 / 10

It holds 6 of the 21 slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 21 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

29 Aug – 30 Aug
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record3–2
Head to head+12.06
Still counts96%
5 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L SportsBetExpertAug 30A loss -3.56
W Wanted GoonsAug 30Bounty collected #6Opponent network #5LAN wins #1 +7.66
W regainAug 30Bounty collected #3Opponent network #2LAN wins #2 +13.86
W KODEXAug 29Bounty collected #7Opponent network #7LAN wins #3 +2.44
L LAGAug 29A loss -8.34
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected3 / 10 Opponent network3 / 10 LAN wins3 / 10

Their most valuable event. It holds 9 of the 21 slots that count, more than any other.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 21 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

12 Jul
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–1
Head to head-1.79
Still counts63%

These results are down to 63% of their original weight.

1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L SportsBetExpertJul 12A loss -1.79
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -1.79.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 21 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

How these numbers are made
  • Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 5 October 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three

What the rating is made of

Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For Desi Boyz that is 839.7 plus 7.1.

The two parts

Valve's · release 5 Oct 2026
Starting value839.7
+
Head to head+7.1
=
Points847

The head-to-head correction is 0.8% of the total. Almost everything about where they sit comes from the four factors, not from whom they have beaten.

The four factors

Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved. 0.289median 0.517
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved. 0.262median 0.486
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten. 0.041median 0.204
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field. 0.287median 0.674
Desi BoyzMedian of the 16 chasing the slots in Americas
The four factors0.289 + 0.262 + 0.041 + 0.287
Their average÷ 4 = 0.220
Stretched onto 400–2,000400 + 0.220 ÷ 0.800 × 1,600 = 839.5
  • 0.800 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
  • Valve ranked 380 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
  • Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
  • Valve's file prints 839.7; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.

Desi Boyz: Below the median of the 16 chasing the slots on all four factors.

How good are they

Ours · not part of Valve's rating

We have no Elo for Desi Boyz: it ranks clubs with a match in the last 90 days.

The last 15 matches Valve counted · oldest first
L L W W W L W L W L L W L W L
Every match by opponent strength

None of the 15 matches was against a side in the world's top 30.

How these numbers are made
  • Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
  • In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.