← Race to the Major

NAOCOPULAS

Americas #27
2 stage 31 stage 26 stage 1
Ceruttera · diozera · fks · nardes · NEKIZ
Outside the profile on five of seven. Below it on bounty offered, bounty collected, opponent network, LAN wins and activity.Band is the other 9 Americas sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered26 Bounty collected37 Opponent network32 LAN wins29 Activity25 Win rate56 Head to head55
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among each region's top 40
27th
Not qualified
Americas on Valve's invitation standings, 2 Nov
Americas standing
27th
  1. 25Tropa do KinGui
  2. 26Low Cortisol BR
  3. 27NAOCOPULAS
  4. 28Overtake Sector
  5. 29Yawara
18 places outside the Major
VRS points
846
World #149 · 545 behind Wildcard
Not qualified

Not qualified: 27th in the Americas on Valve's invitation standings of 2 Nov, 18 places outside.

// Act one

The verdict

Americas has 9 slots: the top 2 go straight to Stage 3; 3rd place enters at Stage 2; 4th to 9th start in Stage 1.

What we said

Our forecast before the cut

We made no forecast for them before the cut.

How these numbers are made
  • Who goes to the Major is Valve's: its invitation standings of 2 Nov 2026, the slots taken down each region's standing, a roster no longer intact skipped.
  • What we said is our last forecast made before the cut, as it stood that day, whether it was right or not.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act two

How they got here

26 matches in Valve's six-month window, 15 won, across 11 events, every figure Valve's own, from the published standings.

29 Oct – 1 Nov
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record2–3
Head to head+20.16
Still counts100%
5 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L Low Cortisol BRNov 1A loss -15.11
L DENDELEOct 31A loss -1.12
W paiNOct 31Bounty collected #1Opponent network #1LAN wins #1 +29.32
W QUINTESSÊNCIAOct 30Bounty collected #8Opponent network #2LAN wins #2 +8.77
L paiNOct 29A loss -1.70
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected2 / 10 Opponent network2 / 10 LAN wins2 / 10

It holds 6 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

30 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–1
Head to head-20.57
Still counts98%
1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L MiraSep 30A loss -20.57
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -20.57.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

22 Sep – 24 Sep
ESL Challenger League Season 52: South America - Cup 2
The event's page →
Record1–2
Head to head-37.82
Still counts94%
3 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L GrêmioSep 24A loss -23.59
L ProcyonSep 23A loss -16.75
W Sementes do MalSep 22Bounty collectedOpponent networkLAN wins #3 +2.52
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 1 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

26 Aug – 5 Sep
CCT South America 2026 Series 5
Record3–1
Head to head+11.78
Still counts82%

These results are down to 82% of their original weight.

4 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L GalorysSep 5A loss -3.56
W GrêmioAug 30Bounty collectedOpponent network #4LAN wins #5 +4.32
W ALKAAug 28Bounty collected #7Opponent network #7LAN wins #6 +7.56
W MEIA NOITEAug 26Bounty collectedOpponent network #9LAN wins #8 +3.46
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network3 / 10 LAN wins3 / 10

Their most valuable event. It holds 7 of the thirty slots that count, more than any other.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

4 Sep
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–0
Head to head+4.35
Still counts81%

These results are down to 81% of their original weight.

1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W JOGA DE TERNOSep 4Bounty collected #9Opponent networkLAN wins #4 +4.35
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 2 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

28 Aug
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–1
Head to head-17.20
Still counts76%

These results are down to 76% of their original weight.

1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L Low Cortisol BRAug 28A loss -17.20
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -17.20.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

25 Aug – 27 Aug
ESL Challenger League Season 52: South America - Cup 1
Record2–1
Head to head+19.21
Still counts76%

These results are down to 76% of their original weight.

3 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W YawaraAug 27Bounty collected #4Opponent network #5LAN wins #7 +9.30
L ImperialAug 26A loss -1.38
W IsurusAug 25Bounty collected #5Opponent network #3LAN wins #9 +11.29
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected2 / 10 Opponent network2 / 10 LAN wins2 / 10

It holds 6 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

14 Jul – 26 Jul
CCT South America 2026 Series 4
Record4–1
Head to head+18.86
Still counts54%

These results are down to 54% of their original weight.

5 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L IsurusJul 26A loss -8.82
W BORRACHEIROSJul 25A win outside the ten best +2.52
W Bounty HuntersJul 24Bounty collected #3Opponent network #10LAN wins +14.12
W ProcyonJul 17Bounty collected #6Opponent network #8LAN wins +7.91
W paiN AcademyJul 14Bounty collected #10Opponent networkLAN wins +3.13
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected3 / 10 Opponent network2 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

It holds 5 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

26 Jul
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–0
Head to head+14.67
Still counts54%

These results are down to 54% of their original weight.

1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W BARCAJul 26Bounty collected #2Opponent network #6LAN wins #10 +14.67
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network1 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 3 of the thirty slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

21 Jul
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–0
Head to head+2.23
Still counts51%

These results are down to 51% of their original weight.

1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

W Sementes do MalJul 21A win outside the ten best +2.23
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by +2.23.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

19 Jul
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record0–1
Head to head-12.52
Still counts50%

These results are down to 50% of their original weight.

1 match

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L EHISTO BASEJul 19A loss -12.52
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected0 / 10 Opponent network0 / 10 LAN wins0 / 10

Nothing here counts toward the factors. No result from this event is among the ten best in bounty collected, opponent network or LAN wins. It moved head to head by -12.52.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. All thirty slots are full, so a new result counts only by pushing an older one out. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

How these numbers are made
  • Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 2 November 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three

What the rating is made of

Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For NAOCOPULAS that is 842.8 plus 3.2.

The two parts

Valve's · release 2 Nov 2026
Starting value842.8
+
Head to head+3.2
=
Points846

The head-to-head correction is 0.4% of the total. Almost everything about where they sit comes from the four factors, not from whom they have beaten.

The four factors

Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved. 0.315median 0.547
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved. 0.327median 0.496
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten. 0.103median 0.239
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field. 0.200median 0.949
NAOCOPULASMedian of the 15 chasing the slots in Americas
The four factors0.315 + 0.327 + 0.103 + 0.200
Their average÷ 4 = 0.236
Stretched onto 400–2,000400 + 0.236 ÷ 0.854 × 1,600 = 842.6
  • 0.854 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
  • Valve ranked 376 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
  • Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
  • Valve's file prints 842.8; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.

NAOCOPULAS: Below the median of the 15 chasing the slots on all four factors.

How good are they

Ours · not part of Valve's rating

We have no Elo for NAOCOPULAS: it ranks clubs with a match in the last 90 days.

The last 26 matches Valve counted · oldest first
W W L W W W W L W W L W W L W W L W L L L L W W L L
Every match by opponent strength

1 of the 26 matches was against a side in the world's top 30, and the largest change in it was 1.1 points.

How these numbers are made
  • Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
  • In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.