← Race to the Major

Revenge

Asia-Pacific #24
0 stage 31 stage 24 stage 1
aRon · imyGDx · Northwest · nursSSS
Outside the profile on six of seven. Below it on bounty offered, bounty collected, opponent network, LAN wins, activity and win rate.Band is the other 5 Asia-Pacific sides holding a Major slot · dashed is their median
Profile · against the clubs holding a Major slot
Bounty offered8 Bounty collected5 Opponent network4 LAN wins26 Activity5 Win rate13 Head to head51
Valve's factorsOurs: activity, win rate, head to headPercentile among each region's top 40
<1%
Chance of a place
at the Major
Revenge are 24th, 19 places outside the 5, 452 points behind 5star
Chance of the Major · Our simulation to the 2 Nov cut
Asia-Pacific standing
24th
  1. 22Nas
  2. 23THE UNIT
  3. 24Revenge
  4. 255dads
19 places outside the Major
VRS points
659
World #236 · 452 behind 5star
// Act one

The verdict

Asia-Pacific has 5 slots: 1st place enters at Stage 2; 2nd to 5th start in Stage 1. Revenge are 24th, 19 places outside.

<1% Revenge are 24th, 19 places outside the 5, 452 points behind 5star Chance of the Major: our simulation to the 2 Nov cut · standing and points: Valve's, 5 Oct 2026

Who they are racing

Asia-Pacific · 5 slots
CutTeamTodayMajor
1BC.Game2 · 1–33, 2 places up at the cut>99
Stage 2 line
2TYLOO3 · 1–41, 1 place down at the cut>99
3The MongolZ1 · 1–32, 1 place down at the cut98
4FlyQuest4 · 3–66, 2 places up at the cut82
55star5 · 4–7563
The cut · top 5 go
6NEXVOID8 · 5–119, 3 places up at the cut19
7Lynn Vision7 · 5–94, 3 places down at the cut18
8Chinggis Warriors7 · 5–107, 1 place down at the cut10
9THUNDER dOWNUNDER11 · 9–1410, 1 place up at the cut1
10DEPO9 · 7–128, 2 places down at the cut1
11Revenge28 · 24–3124, 13 places up at the cut<1

In the order of their chance of the Major, our simulation's, as Race to the Major orders them; beside each, its median place at the cut and the range the middle 80% of runs put it in. Today is Valve's standing, and the arrow how far the order by chance moves them.

FlyQuest comes up into the 5, Lynn Vision falls out.

TodayValve's Regional Standings, 5 Oct
1TYLOO1,340
2The MongolZ1,318
3BC.Game1,318
4Lynn Vision1,190
55star1,111
6FlyQuest1,093
7Chinggis Warriors1,084
8DEPO1,041
9NEXVOID995
10THUNDER dOWNUNDER971
24Revenge659
At the cutOurs · ordered by chance of the Major · median place and range
2TYLOO3 · 1–4>99%
3The MongolZ1 · 1–398%
1BC.Game2 · 1–3>99%
7Lynn Vision7 · 5–918%
55star5 · 4–763%
4FlyQuest4 · 3–682%
8Chinggis Warriors7 · 5–1010%
10DEPO9 · 7–121%
6NEXVOID8 · 5–1119%
9THUNDER dOWNUNDER11 · 9–141%
11Revenge28 · 24–31<1%
RevengeComes up across the cutFalls outThe cut

FlyQuest comes up into the 5, Lynn Vision falls out.

How these numbers are made
  • Today is Valve's Regional Standings. At the cut is our simulation: the clubs in the order of their chance of the Major, as Race to the Major orders them, with each one's median place at the cut and the range the middle 80% of runs fall in. A club further down Valve's standings is listed when its median place reaches the figure.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.

Their calendar to the cut

Events they are known to play
United21 Season 56Sep 26 – Oct 13 · Tier C · Online 0impact
// Act two

How they got here

7 matches in Valve's six-month window, 3 won, across 2 events, every figure Valve's own, from the published standings. One event since Valve's 5 Oct release is not in its numbers yet; it comes first, with bo3's results.

Since Valve's 5 Oct release · not counted yet
Counted by Valve · head to head
27 Sep – 1 Oct
United21 Season 56
The event's page →
Under way· Valve counts an event once it has finished; its next release is due 2 Nov
Record0–2
Finish—
Prize—
2 matches
L Passion AcademyOct 1 1–2
L CTRLSep 27 0–2

Valve's head-to-head change per match, and which of its counting slots these results take, come with its release. Our estimate of what the event does to the points follows once it has finished.

9 Sep – 10 Sep
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026: West Asian Qualifier
The event's page →
Record2–2
Head to head+14.93
Still counts100%
4 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L DEPOSep 10A loss -2.82
W LegionSep 10Bounty collected #2Opponent network #1LAN wins #2 +10.11
L DEPOSep 9A loss -2.75
W LegionSep 9Bounty collected #3Opponent network #2LAN wins #3 +10.39
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected2 / 10 Opponent network2 / 10 LAN wins2 / 10

Their most valuable event. It holds 6 of the 9 slots that count, more than any other.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 9 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

1 Aug
Not linked to an event
Valve counted these matches, but we have not linked them to an event: bo3, where our calendar comes from, holds none for them, or holds it under another name.
Record1–2
Head to head-12.23
Still counts77%

These results are down to 77% of their original weight.

3 matches

A lit factor means the win holds one of its ten counting slots there; #1 is their most valuable result in that factor.

L THE UNITAug 1A loss -9.93
W ZWAWAug 1Bounty collected #1Opponent network #3LAN wins #1 +7.96
L THE UNITAug 1A loss -10.26
Was it worth going?
Bounty collected1 / 10 Opponent network1 / 10 LAN wins1 / 10

It holds 3 of the 9 slots that count.

Valve counts only the ten best wins in each of these three factors. 9 of the thirty slots are filled. A loss takes no slot: it moves only head to head.

How these numbers are made
  • Matches, head-to-head changes, age weights and counting slots are Valve's, from its Regional Standings of 5 October 2026. Which event a match belongs to is our join to bo3's calendar.
  • The events since that release are bo3's results and prize tables, and the estimate is ours: Valve's standings projected to the event's end with and without it. It is replaced by Valve's own figures once Valve publishes them.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.
// Act three

What the rating is made of

Valve's model averages four factors into a starting value, then adjusts it for head-to-head results. For Revenge that is 656.2 plus 2.7.

The two parts

Valve's · release 5 Oct 2026
Starting value656.2
+
Head to head+2.7
=
Points659

The head-to-head correction is 0.4% of the total. Almost everything about where they sit comes from the four factors, not from whom they have beaten.

The four factors

Valve's · each runs from 0 to 1
Bounty offeredTheir own prize money, their ten best events, aged. Divided by the fifth-highest in the field, capped at 1, then curved. 0.244median 0.386
Bounty collectedThe bounty of the sides they beat, their ten best wins. Divided by ten, then curved. 0.189median 0.340
Opponent networkHow many sides their opponents had beaten, their ten best wins. Divided by ten. 0.003median 0.157
LAN winsWins at LAN events, their ten best, aged. Divided by ten, then by the fifth-highest in the field. 0.077median 0.400
RevengeMedian of the 11 chasing the slots in Asia-Pacific
The four factors0.244 + 0.189 + 0.003 + 0.077
Their average÷ 4 = 0.128
Stretched onto 400–2,000400 + 0.128 ÷ 0.800 × 1,600 = 656.5
  • 0.800 is the highest average of any roster Valve loaded and 0.000 the lowest, both printed in Valve's file. If the top pulls away, everyone below falls without playing worse.
  • Valve ranked 380 rosters in this release: every lineup with a win and at least five matches in the six-month window.
  • Head to head is added last: a Glicko adjustment, match by match in date order.
  • Valve's file prints 656.2; the factors here are rounded to three decimals.

Revenge: Below the median of the 11 chasing the slots on all four factors.

How good are they

Ours · not part of Valve's rating
Our Elo, per map1,326
Rank by our Elo437 of 550
Valve's world standing236

Our Elo answers who wins a match not yet played; Valve's standing measures results weighted by prize money. How our Elo is scored →

The last 7 matches Valve counted · oldest first
L W L W L W L
Every match by opponent strength

None of the 7 matches was against a side in the world's top 30.

How these numbers are made
  • Valve prints the points rounded to a whole number.
  • In the scatter both axes are Valve's: across, the opponent's world standing (unranked at the far right); up, Valve's head-to-head change for the match.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.