// Event · Tier C

Roman Imperium Cup IX

7 Oct – 10 Oct 2026 LAN 16 teams $13,628 23 days before the cut
Race impact ?
1
Little effect on the race

Why it matters

Facts beside our number
Valve's event weight
0.35
From its VRS weight on HLTV of $13,628, through Valve's curve. It scales what every result here is worth.
Teams in the race known to attend
1
FaZe
Between 1 and 99% for the Major, on the event's list or in bo3's fixtures.
Timing
23 days before the cut
TodayCut · 2 Nov
Starts in 5 days. Everything here still counts on the day.

Race impact is ours: how many points of Major chance this event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race. For each team, how likely a top-half or a bottom-half finish is here in our runs, and how far apart its chance of the Major is after each. After the cut it is 0.

Who it matters to

1 team in the race known to attend

Each team's chance of the Major today, and after each finish here, from our simulation's runs. The first figure is where they stand today.

TeamTodayWhen it pays off
Out before the quarter-finals
—
too few runs
Quarter-final
74%
-9 points
Semi-final
—
too few runs
Final
—
too few runs
Win it
85%
+2 points

FaZe need the title for this to help. Anything short of it leaves them at or below the 83% they hold today. Going out in the quarter-finals costs them 9 points of Major chance while rivals play on.

The field

16 known · strongest first, by our Elo
In the race · 83%
Europe #7
Elo 1,691 · 19th
Sangal
Europe #234
Elo 1,567 · 64th
OG
Europe #63
Elo 1,531 · 80th
SAW
Europe · no Valve standing yet
Elo 1,503 · 102nd
EAC
Europe #62
Elo 1,492 · 112th
Europe #36
Elo 1,491 · 113th
Lazer Cats
Europe #104
Elo 1,470 · 129th
WBT
Europe #102
Elo 1,457 · 143rd
RBLS
Europe #96
Elo 1,452 · 145th
NAVI Junior
Europe #97
Elo 1,448 · 150th
G2 Ares
Europe #80
Elo 1,413 · 191st
PURE
Europe #242
Elo 1,409 · 195th
Falcons Force
Europe #130
Elo 1,387 · 231st
Orion Wanderers
Outside the top 40
Elo 1,336 · 396th
Famalicão
Europe #222
Elo 1,289 · 510th
SINQU
Europe #113
Elo 1,212 · 548th
How these numbers are made
  • Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 2 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
  • Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
  • Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.