// Event · Tier C

StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026: North American Qualifier

28 Jul – 3 Aug 2026 Online Finished
Winner
NRG
4–1 · Americas #9

No forecast of ours was made before it started.

How it finished

Results from bo3
Winner
NRG
4–1Americas #9
Final
Voca
3–1Americas #17
Semi-final
SportsBetExpert
3–2Americas #12
Semi-final
Marsborne
2–2Americas #20

Winners and losers

Valve's points · release of 7 Sep
SportsBetExpert 3–2Semi-final +224
LAG 1–2Quarter-final +117
NRG 4–1Winner +22
regain 1–2Quarter-final -38
Marsborne 2–2Semi-final -88
Iowa Stormboar 0–2Quarter-final -100
Voca 3–1Final -144
Chicken Coop 0–2Quarter-final -152
How these numbers are made
  • Ours: race impact, the chances, the finishes and Elo, from our forecast of 2 October (how our Elo is scored). Valve's: the standings and the event weight.
  • Race impact is how many points of Major chance the event is expected to move, summed over the teams in the race.
  • Event weight is the prize pool through Valve's curve. A stage or qualifier also takes half the pool of each finished event it feeds.
  • Points are Valve's change between its releases of 6 July and 7 September, so other events and ageing move them too.
  • The whole method: the model, its sources, how well it has done and what it cannot see.