← all matches · BLAST Open Fall 2026 · August 28, 2026

Natus Vincere vs paiN

Natus Vincere
2
BO3
paiN
0

Natus Vincere beat paiN 2–0 at BLAST Open Fall 2026 on August 28, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Natus Vincere paiN Winner
1 Nuke 13 9 Natus Vincere
2 Mirage 13 11 Natus Vincere

What the result was worth

Our Elo model favoured Natus Vincere at 78% going in, and the result moved their rating +7 points to 1,704 as it stood that day.

The two had met 3 times before this, with Natus Vincere ahead on 3–0 — so this result took the head-to-head to 4–0.

Natus Vincere came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Natus Vincere Elo after
1,704
+7 from this match
paiN Elo after
1,467
-7 from this match
Model call going in
78%
Natus Vincere to win

Head to head before this match

Natus Vincere 3–0 paiN across 3 meetings.

DateEventResult
Dec 5, 2025 StarLadder Budapest Major 2025 paiN 0–1 Natus Vincere
Mar 9, 2025 ESL Pro League Season 21 paiN 0–2 Natus Vincere
Jan 24, 2025 BLAST Bounty Spring 2025 Natus Vincere 2–1 paiN

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapNatus VincerepaiN
Nuke 22–23 35–26
Mirage 46–30 24–26

Form going in

Natus Vincere

L vs M80 Aug 26
L vs Legacy Aug 20
W vs The MongolZ Aug 15
W vs 3DMAX Aug 12
L vs G2 Jun 15

paiN

L vs FURIA Aug 26
L vs The MongolZ Aug 16
W vs Wildcard Aug 15
L vs 9z Aug 12
L vs Astralis Jul 31

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.