← all matches · BLAST Open Fall 2026 · August 31, 2026

MOUZ vs Falcons

MOUZ
2
BO3
Falcons
1

MOUZ beat Falcons 2–1 at BLAST Open Fall 2026 on August 31, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map MOUZ Falcons Winner
1 Nuke 6 13 Falcons
2 Ancient 13 6 MOUZ
3 Inferno 13 3 MOUZ

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Falcons the favourite here, giving MOUZ a 38% chance going in. The upset moved MOUZ's rating +15 points to 1,739 as it stood that day.

The two had met 14 times before this, with MOUZ ahead on 6–8 — so this result took the head-to-head to 7–8.

MOUZ came into the series having won 4 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

MOUZ Elo after
1,739
+15 from this match
Falcons Elo after
1,793
-15 from this match
Model call going in
38%
MOUZ to win

Head to head before this match

MOUZ 6–8 Falcons across 14 meetings.

DateEventResult
May 23, 2026 CS Asia Championships 2026 Falcons 2–1 MOUZ
Feb 3, 2026 Intel Extreme Masters Kraków 2026 Falcons 0–2 MOUZ
Dec 6, 2025 StarLadder Budapest Major 2025 MOUZ 2–1 Falcons
Nov 9, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu 2025 MOUZ 1–2 Falcons
Oct 11, 2025 ESL Pro League Season 22 MOUZ 0–2 Falcons

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapMOUZFalcons
Nuke 42–21 31–20
Ancient 23–25 38–19
Inferno 41–27 26–30

Form going in

MOUZ

W vs Inner Circle Aug 29
W vs 9z Aug 27
L vs FUT Aug 21
W vs GamerLegion Aug 19
W vs PARIVISION Aug 16

Falcons

W vs Legacy Aug 29
W vs Lynn Vision Aug 27
L vs Legacy Aug 21
W vs The MongolZ Aug 20
W vs Astralis Aug 13

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.