← all matches · BLAST Open Fall 2026 · September 5, 2026

MOUZ vs Vitality

MOUZ
2
BO3
Vitality
0

MOUZ beat Vitality 2–0 at BLAST Open Fall 2026 on September 5, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map MOUZ Vitality Winner
1 Dust2 13 11 MOUZ
2 Mirage 13 7 MOUZ

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Vitality the favourite here, giving MOUZ a 40% chance going in. The upset moved MOUZ's rating +21 points to 1,760 as it stood that day.

The two had met 16 times before this, with MOUZ ahead on 3–13 — so this result took the head-to-head to 4–13.

MOUZ came into the series having won 4 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

MOUZ Elo after
1,760
+21 from this match
Vitality Elo after
1,789
-22 from this match
Model call going in
40%
MOUZ to win

Head to head before this match

MOUZ 3–13 Vitality across 16 meetings.

DateEventResult
Jun 13, 2026 Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major 2026 Vitality 2–1 MOUZ
Feb 16, 2026 PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 MOUZ 0–2 Vitality
Feb 7, 2026 Intel Extreme Masters Kraków 2026 Vitality 2–0 MOUZ
Nov 8, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu 2025 Vitality 2–1 MOUZ
Nov 4, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Chengdu 2025 MOUZ 2–1 Vitality

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapMOUZVitality
Dust2 28–26 60–12
Mirage 43–33 45–24

Form going in

MOUZ

W vs Falcons Aug 31
W vs Inner Circle Aug 29
W vs 9z Aug 27
L vs FUT Aug 21
W vs GamerLegion Aug 19

Vitality

W vs FURIA Sep 4
W vs FUT Aug 31
W vs Legacy Aug 30
W vs 9z Aug 29
L vs Inner Circle Aug 27

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.