← all matches · PGL Astana 2026 · May 16, 2026

MOUZ vs Spirit

MOUZ
0
BO3
Spirit
2

Spirit beat MOUZ 2–0 at PGL Astana 2026 on May 16, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map MOUZ Spirit Winner
1 Dust2 3 13 Spirit
2 Nuke 2 13 Spirit

What the result was worth

Our Elo model favoured Spirit at 64% going in, and the result moved their rating +13 points to 1,792 as it stood that day.

The two had met 10 times before this, with Spirit ahead on 7–3 — so this result took the head-to-head to 8–3.

Spirit came into the series having won 4 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

MOUZ Elo after
1,670
-13 from this match
Spirit Elo after
1,792
+13 from this match
Model call going in
36%
MOUZ to win

Head to head before this match

MOUZ 3–7 Spirit across 10 meetings.

DateEventResult
Apr 17, 2026 Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2026 Spirit 2–0 MOUZ
Feb 8, 2026 Intel Extreme Masters Kraków 2026 Spirit 2–0 MOUZ
Dec 5, 2025 StarLadder Budapest Major 2025 MOUZ 1–2 Spirit
Aug 16, 2025 BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 MOUZ 0–2 Spirit
Aug 3, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025 MOUZ 0–3 Spirit

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapMOUZSpirit
Dust2 21–22 54–15
Nuke 32–18 26–19

Form going in

MOUZ

W vs Aurora May 15
L vs 9z May 11
W vs G2 May 10
W vs Gentle Mates May 9
L vs Spirit Apr 17

Spirit

W vs G2 May 15
W vs FURIA May 11
W vs The MongolZ May 10
W vs The Huns May 9
L vs Vitality Apr 19

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.