← all matches · PGL Astana 2026 · May 12, 2026

The MongolZ vs Falcons

The MongolZ
1
BO3
Falcons
2

Falcons beat The MongolZ 2–1 at PGL Astana 2026 on May 12, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map The MongolZ Falcons Winner
1 Dust2 8 13 Falcons
2 Inferno 13 11 The MongolZ
3 Mirage 12 16 Falcons

What the result was worth

Our Elo model favoured Falcons at 59% going in, and the result moved their rating +9 points to 1,743 as it stood that day.

The two had met 2 times before this, with Falcons ahead on 1–1 — so this result took the head-to-head to 2–1.

Falcons came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

The MongolZ Elo after
1,661
-9 from this match
Falcons Elo after
1,743
+9 from this match
Model call going in
41%
The MongolZ to win

Head to head before this match

The MongolZ 1–1 Falcons across 2 meetings.

DateEventResult
Jul 27, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025 Falcons 0–2 The MongolZ
Apr 10, 2025 PGL Bucharest 2025 Falcons 2–1 The MongolZ

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapThe MongolZFalcons
Dust2 27–22 29–25
Inferno 27–21 20–26
Mirage 50–29 32–17

Form going in

The MongolZ

W vs G2 May 11
L vs Spirit May 10
W vs magic May 9
W vs 3DMAX Apr 11
L vs FUT Apr 10

Falcons

W vs Monte May 11
L vs 9z May 10
W vs K27 May 9
W vs FURIA Apr 19
L vs Spirit Apr 18

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.