← all matches · ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2 · March 7, 2026
Natus Vincere vs G2
G2 beat Natus Vincere 2–1 at ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 2 on March 7, 2026 in a BO3 series.
Maps
| # | Map | Natus Vincere | G2 | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dust2 | 13 | 7 | Natus Vincere |
| 2 | Mirage | 5 | 13 | G2 |
| 3 | Ancient | 7 | 13 | G2 |
What the result was worth
Our Elo model made Natus Vincere the favourite here, giving G2 a 43% chance going in. The upset moved G2's rating +12 points to 1,610 as it stood that day.
The two had met 6 times before this, with G2 ahead on 1–5 — so this result took the head-to-head to 2–5.
G2 came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.
Head to head before this match
Natus Vincere 5–1 G2 across 6 meetings.
| Date | Event | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 | Natus Vincere 2–0 G2 |
| Jun 14, 2025 | BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 | Natus Vincere 2–1 G2 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | ESL Pro League Season 21 | G2 0–2 Natus Vincere |
| Sep 29, 2024 | BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2024 | G2 3–1 Natus Vincere |
| Sep 26, 2024 | BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2024 | Natus Vincere 2–0 G2 |
These maps, before this series
Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.
| Map | Natus Vincere | G2 |
|---|---|---|
| Dust2 | 17–14 | 37–19 |
| Mirage | 32–23 | 27–23 |
| Ancient | 27–16 | 22–23 |
Form going in
Natus Vincere
Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.
Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.