← all matches · ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 1 · March 4, 2026

paiN vs G2

paiN
2
BO3
G2
0

paiN beat G2 2–0 at ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 1 on March 4, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map paiN G2 Winner
1 Inferno 16 14 paiN
2 Mirage 16 12 paiN

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made G2 the favourite here, giving paiN a 33% chance going in. The upset moved paiN's rating +25 points to 1,499 as it stood that day.

The two had met 4 times before this, with paiN ahead on 0–4 — so this result took the head-to-head to 1–4.

paiN came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

paiN Elo after
1,499
+25 from this match
G2 Elo after
1,570
-25 from this match
Model call going in
33%
paiN to win

Head to head before this match

paiN 0–4 G2 across 4 meetings.

DateEventResult
Feb 16, 2026 PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 G2 2–0 paiN
Dec 4, 2025 StarLadder Budapest Major 2025 paiN 0–1 G2
Jun 12, 2025 BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 G2 1–0 paiN
Mar 7, 2025 ESL Pro League Season 21 G2 2–0 paiN

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MappaiNG2
Inferno 15–23 31–20
Mirage 19–21 27–22

Form going in

paiN

W vs Passion UA Mar 3
L vs PARIVISION Mar 2
W vs 3DMAX Mar 1
L vs G2 Feb 16
L vs Aurora Feb 15

G2

W vs M80 Mar 3
L vs Legacy Mar 2
W vs Gaimin Gladiators Mar 1
L vs Natus Vincere Feb 18
W vs HEROIC Feb 17

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.