← all matches · ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 1 · March 3, 2026

SemperFi vs Liquid

SemperFi
1
BO3
Liquid
2

Liquid beat SemperFi 2–1 at ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 1 on March 3, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map SemperFi Liquid Winner
1 Dust2 6 13 Liquid
2 Mirage 13 7 SemperFi
3 Inferno 9 13 Liquid

What the result was worth

Our Elo model favoured Liquid at 53% going in, and the result moved their rating +11 points to 1,506 as it stood that day.

Liquid came into the series having won 1 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

SemperFi Elo after
1,461
-10 from this match
Liquid Elo after
1,506
+11 from this match
Model call going in
47%
SemperFi to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapSemperFiLiquid
Dust2 0–2 11–25
Mirage 0–1 18–18
Inferno 0–1 19–18

Form going in

SemperFi

L vs 3DMAX Mar 2
L vs PARIVISION Mar 1

Liquid

L vs Gaimin Gladiators Mar 2
L vs Passion UA Mar 1
L vs FUT Jan 30
L vs G2 Jan 29
W vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jan 28

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.