← all matches · ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 1 · March 3, 2026

FUT vs Astralis

FUT
2
BO3
Astralis
0

FUT beat Astralis 2–0 at ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 1 on March 3, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map FUT Astralis Winner
1 Overpass 13 3 FUT
2 Mirage 13 11 FUT

What the result was worth

Our Elo model had this one as close to even — neither side carried enough of a rating edge to be called the favourite. The result moved FUT's rating +16 points to 1,585 as it stood that day.

The two had met 2 times before this, with FUT ahead on 1–1 — so this result took the head-to-head to 2–1.

FUT came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

FUT Elo after
1,585
+16 from this match
Astralis Elo after
1,537
-17 from this match
Model call going in
52%
FUT to win

Head to head before this match

FUT 1–1 Astralis across 2 meetings.

DateEventResult
Feb 16, 2026 PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 FUT 2–0 Astralis
Feb 2, 2026 Intel Extreme Masters Kraków 2026 FUT 1–2 Astralis

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapFUTAstralis
Overpass 3–4 13–7
Mirage 14–3 17–33

Form going in

FUT

W vs Passion UA Mar 2
W vs M80 Mar 1
L vs PARIVISION Feb 18
W vs Astralis Feb 16
L vs FURIA Feb 15

Astralis

W vs HEROIC Mar 2
W vs Monte Mar 1
L vs Aurora Feb 18
W vs FaZe Feb 17
L vs FUT Feb 16

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.