← all matches · ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 1 · March 1, 2026

Astralis vs Monte

Astralis
2
BO3
Monte
1

Astralis beat Monte 2–1 at ESL Pro League Season 23 Stage 1 on March 1, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Astralis Monte Winner
1 Dust2 4 13 Monte
2 Ancient 13 3 Astralis
3 Nuke 13 5 Astralis

What the result was worth

Our Elo model had this one as close to even — neither side carried enough of a rating edge to be called the favourite. The result moved Astralis's rating +11 points to 1,538 as it stood that day.

Astralis came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Astralis Elo after
1,538
+11 from this match
Monte Elo after
1,498
-11 from this match
Model call going in
53%
Astralis to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapAstralisMonte
Dust2 6–22 1–0
Ancient 22–18 1–1
Nuke 32–22 0–3

Form going in

Astralis

L vs Aurora Feb 18
W vs FaZe Feb 17
L vs FUT Feb 16
W vs 3DMAX Feb 15
L vs Natus Vincere Feb 14

Monte

L vs Falcons Jan 17
W vs Natus Vincere Jan 14
L vs SAW Oct 27
W vs Legacy Oct 26
W vs MIBR Oct 25

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.