← all matches · BLAST Bounty Winter 2026: Closed Qualifier · January 13, 2026

Aurora vs HOTU

Aurora
2
BO3
HOTU
1

Aurora beat HOTU 2–1 at BLAST Bounty Winter 2026: Closed Qualifier on January 13, 2026 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Aurora HOTU Winner
1 Mirage 13 7 Aurora
2 Nuke 13 16 HOTU

What the result was worth

Our Elo model favoured Aurora at 56% going in, and the result moved their rating +10 points to 1,568 as it stood that day.

The two had met 1 time before this, with Aurora ahead on 1–0 — so this result took the head-to-head to 2–0.

Aurora came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Aurora Elo after
1,568
+10 from this match
HOTU Elo after
1,506
-10 from this match
Model call going in
56%
Aurora to win

Head to head before this match

Aurora 1–0 HOTU across 1 meeting.

DateEventResult
May 11, 2025 PGL Astana 2025 Aurora 2–1 HOTU

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapAuroraHOTU
Mirage 17–17 2–3
Nuke 12–8 0–3

Form going in

Aurora

L vs Astralis Dec 1
L vs PARIVISION Nov 30
L vs FaZe Nov 29
W vs M80 Nov 29
W vs Legacy Nov 1

HOTU

L vs Natus Vincere Oct 7
L vs Vitality Oct 6
L vs Spirit Oct 5
W vs The MongolZ Oct 4
W vs ENCE Sep 30

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.