← all matches · Thunderpick World Championship 2025 · October 19, 2025
Aurora vs The MongolZ
The MongolZ beat Aurora 2–1 at Thunderpick World Championship 2025 on October 19, 2025 in a BO3 series.
Maps
| # | Map | Aurora | The MongolZ | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inferno | 16 | 14 | Aurora |
| 2 | Mirage | 10 | 13 | The MongolZ |
| 3 | Nuke | 14 | 16 | The MongolZ |
What the result was worth
Our Elo model favoured The MongolZ at 62% going in, and the result moved their rating +8 points to 1,662 as it stood that day.
The two had met 4 times before this, with The MongolZ ahead on 3–1 — so this result took the head-to-head to 4–1.
The MongolZ came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.
Head to head before this match
Aurora 1–3 The MongolZ across 4 meetings.
| Date | Event | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | Esports World Cup 2025 | The MongolZ 3–0 Aurora |
| Aug 14, 2025 | BLAST Bounty Fall 2025 | The MongolZ 2–0 Aurora |
| May 23, 2025 | Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 | The MongolZ 2–0 Aurora |
| May 16, 2025 | PGL Astana 2025 | The MongolZ 0–2 Aurora |
These maps, before this series
Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.
| Map | Aurora | The MongolZ |
|---|---|---|
| Inferno | 9–9 | 20–14 |
| Mirage | 14–12 | 36–19 |
| Nuke | 9–6 | 15–12 |
Form going in
Aurora
The MongolZ
Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.
Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.