← all matches · ESL Pro League Season 22 Stage 1 · September 29, 2025
Astralis vs ENCE
ENCE beat Astralis 2–1 at ESL Pro League Season 22 Stage 1 on September 29, 2025 in a BO3 series.
Maps
| # | Map | Astralis | ENCE | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ancient | 16 | 13 | Astralis |
| 2 | Nuke | 2 | 13 | ENCE |
| 3 | Overpass | 7 | 13 | ENCE |
What the result was worth
Our Elo model made Astralis the favourite here, giving ENCE a 39% chance going in. The upset moved ENCE's rating +14 points to 1,478 as it stood that day.
The two had met 1 time before this, with ENCE ahead on 0–1 — so this result took the head-to-head to 1–1.
ENCE came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.
Head to head before this match
Astralis 1–0 ENCE across 1 meeting.
| Date | Event | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2025 | BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025: European Regional Qualifier | Astralis 1–0 ENCE |
These maps, before this series
Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.
| Map | Astralis | ENCE |
|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 16–14 | 6–6 |
| Nuke | 24–13 | 1–4 |
| Overpass | 2–2 | — |
Form going in
Astralis
ENCE
Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.
Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.