← all matches · BLAST Open Fall 2025 · September 7, 2025

Vitality vs G2

Vitality
2
BO5
G2
3

G2 beat Vitality 3–2 at BLAST Open Fall 2025 on September 7, 2025 in a BO5 series.

Maps

# Map Vitality G2 Winner
1 Dust2 3 13 G2
2 Mirage 13 6 Vitality
3 Overpass 13 6 Vitality
4 Inferno 12 16 G2
5 Train 6 13 G2

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Vitality the favourite here, giving G2 a 24% chance going in. The upset moved G2's rating +18 points to 1,638 as it stood that day.

The two had met 3 times before this, with G2 ahead on 2–1 — so this result took the head-to-head to 3–1.

G2 came into the series having won 4 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Vitality Elo after
1,804
-19 from this match
G2 Elo after
1,638
+18 from this match
Model call going in
76%
Vitality to win

Head to head before this match

Vitality 1–2 G2 across 3 meetings.

DateEventResult
Jul 27, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025 Vitality 2–0 G2
Nov 2, 2024 BLAST Premier: World Final 2024 G2 2–1 Vitality
Sep 28, 2024 BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2024 Vitality 1–2 G2

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapVitalityG2
Dust2 26–4 23–11
Mirage 25–15 20–12
Overpass 1–1 —
Inferno 30–7 20–11
Train 12–3 0–2

Form going in

Vitality

W vs MOUZ Sep 6
W vs FaZe Sep 1
W vs GamerLegion Aug 29
W vs M80 Aug 27
L vs Falcons Aug 24

G2

W vs FURIA Sep 6
W vs FaZe Sep 5
W vs Spirit Sep 1
W vs FlyQuest Aug 31
L vs MOUZ Aug 30

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.