← all matches · Esports World Cup 2025 · August 24, 2025

Vitality vs Falcons

Vitality
1
BO3
Falcons
2

Falcons beat Vitality 2–1 at Esports World Cup 2025 on August 24, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Vitality Falcons Winner
1 Inferno 13 9 Vitality
2 Train 3 13 Falcons
3 Nuke 3 13 Falcons

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Vitality the favourite here, giving Falcons a 23% chance going in. The upset moved Falcons's rating +19 points to 1,634 as it stood that day.

The two had met 4 times before this, with Falcons ahead on 0–4 — so this result took the head-to-head to 1–4.

Falcons came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Vitality Elo after
1,803
-18 from this match
Falcons Elo after
1,634
+19 from this match
Model call going in
77%
Vitality to win

Head to head before this match

Vitality 4–0 Falcons across 4 meetings.

DateEventResult
May 24, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2025 Vitality 2–1 Falcons
May 4, 2025 BLAST Rivals Spring 2025 Falcons 2–3 Vitality
Apr 27, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025 Falcons 2–3 Vitality
Apr 23, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025 Vitality 2–0 Falcons

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapVitalityFalcons
Inferno 26–6 7–14
Train 11–2 9–8
Nuke 25–5 13–14

Form going in

Vitality

L vs The MongolZ Aug 23
W vs TYLOO Aug 21
W vs Liquid Aug 20
L vs The MongolZ Aug 16
W vs Liquid Aug 15

Falcons

L vs Aurora Aug 23
W vs MOUZ Aug 22
W vs G2 Aug 21
L vs FURIA Jul 28
L vs The MongolZ Jul 27

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.