← all matches · Esports World Cup 2025 · August 23, 2025

Falcons vs Aurora

Falcons
0
BO3
Aurora
2

Aurora beat Falcons 2–0 at Esports World Cup 2025 on August 23, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Falcons Aurora Winner
1 Inferno 6 13 Aurora
2 Train 11 13 Aurora

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Falcons the favourite here, giving Aurora a 39% chance going in. The upset moved Aurora's rating +22 points to 1,582 as it stood that day.

Aurora came into the series having won 4 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Falcons Elo after
1,615
-22 from this match
Aurora Elo after
1,582
+22 from this match
Model call going in
61%
Falcons to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapFalconsAurora
Inferno 7–13 6–7
Train 9–7 1–5

Form going in

Falcons

W vs MOUZ Aug 22
W vs G2 Aug 21
L vs FURIA Jul 28
L vs The MongolZ Jul 27
W vs GamerLegion Jul 26

Aurora

W vs HEROIC Aug 22
W vs FaZe Aug 20
L vs The MongolZ Aug 14
W vs HEROIC Aug 10
W vs FlyQuest Aug 8

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.