← all matches · BLAST Bounty Fall 2025: Closed Qualifier · August 7, 2025

Ninjas in Pyjamas vs paiN

Ninjas in Pyjamas
1
BO3
paiN
2

paiN beat Ninjas in Pyjamas 2–1 at BLAST Bounty Fall 2025: Closed Qualifier on August 7, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Ninjas in Pyjamas paiN Winner
1 Ancient 8 13 paiN
2 Dust2 13 11 Ninjas in Pyjamas
3 Nuke 11 13 paiN

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Ninjas in Pyjamas the favourite here, giving paiN a 39% chance going in. The upset moved paiN's rating +14 points to 1,451 as it stood that day.

paiN came into the series having won 1 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Ninjas in Pyjamas Elo after
1,499
-14 from this match
paiN Elo after
1,451
+14 from this match
Model call going in
61%
Ninjas in Pyjamas to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapNinjas in PyjamaspaiN
Ancient 5–0 2–3
Dust2 2–7 13–17
Nuke 5–3 15–12

Form going in

Ninjas in Pyjamas

L vs Natus Vincere Jul 29
W vs HEROIC Jul 28
L vs Aurora Jul 26
W vs 3DMAX Jul 24
W vs HEROIC Jul 23

paiN

L vs Astralis Jul 25
W vs BIG Jul 25
L vs Liquid Jul 23
L vs 3DMAX Jul 17
L vs Lynn Vision Jul 16

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.