← all matches · Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025 · August 2, 2025

Spirit vs Natus Vincere

Spirit
2
BO3
Natus Vincere
1

Spirit beat Natus Vincere 2–1 at Intel Extreme Masters Cologne 2025 on August 2, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Spirit Natus Vincere Winner
1 Mirage 13 11 Spirit
2 Nuke 9 13 Natus Vincere
3 Ancient 13 6 Spirit

What the result was worth

Our Elo model favoured Spirit at 67% going in, and the result moved their rating +7 points to 1,772 as it stood that day.

The two had met 7 times before this, with Spirit ahead on 5–2 — so this result took the head-to-head to 6–2.

Spirit came into the series having won 4 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Spirit Elo after
1,772
+7 from this match
Natus Vincere Elo after
1,634
-7 from this match
Model call going in
67%
Spirit to win

Head to head before this match

Spirit 5–2 Natus Vincere across 7 meetings.

DateEventResult
Jun 13, 2025 BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 Spirit 2–0 Natus Vincere
Mar 28, 2025 BLAST Open Spring 2025 Natus Vincere 0–2 Spirit
Feb 8, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2025 Natus Vincere 0–2 Spirit
Feb 3, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2025 Spirit 1–2 Natus Vincere
Jan 25, 2025 BLAST Bounty Spring 2025 Natus Vincere 0–2 Spirit

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapSpiritNatus Vincere
Mirage 16–11 21–13
Nuke 19–9 7–10
Ancient 11–6 17–10

Form going in

Spirit

W vs MOUZ Jul 29
W vs Aurora Jul 28
W vs HEROIC Jul 27
L vs MOUZ Jun 19
W vs Natus Vincere Jun 13

Natus Vincere

W vs The MongolZ Aug 1
W vs FaZe Jul 29
W vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Jul 29
L vs MOUZ Jul 28
W vs FaZe Jul 26

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.