← all matches · BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 · June 19, 2025

Spirit vs MOUZ

Spirit
1
BO3
MOUZ
2

MOUZ beat Spirit 2–1 at BLAST.tv Austin Major 2025 on June 19, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Spirit MOUZ Winner
1 Mirage 25 21 Spirit
2 Dust2 9 13 MOUZ
3 Nuke 10 13 MOUZ

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Spirit the favourite here, giving MOUZ a 38% chance going in. The upset moved MOUZ's rating +14 points to 1,684 as it stood that day.

The two had met 3 times before this, with MOUZ ahead on 2–1 — so this result took the head-to-head to 3–1.

MOUZ came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Spirit Elo after
1,740
-14 from this match
MOUZ Elo after
1,684
+14 from this match
Model call going in
62%
Spirit to win

Head to head before this match

Spirit 1–2 MOUZ across 3 meetings.

DateEventResult
Mar 21, 2025 BLAST Open Spring 2025 Spirit 1–2 MOUZ
Mar 15, 2025 ESL Pro League Season 21 MOUZ 2–1 Spirit
Dec 14, 2024 Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 MOUZ 1–2 Spirit

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapSpiritMOUZ
Mirage 15–10 16–14
Dust2 29–6 14–11
Nuke 17–8 24–10

Form going in

Spirit

W vs Natus Vincere Jun 13
W vs Lynn Vision Jun 12
W vs paiN Jun 12
W vs Astralis May 18
W vs FURIA May 17

MOUZ

W vs Legacy Jun 15
W vs Aurora Jun 14
W vs Liquid Jun 13
L vs FaZe Jun 12
L vs Virtus.pro Jun 12

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.