← all matches · PGL Astana 2025 · May 14, 2025

MIBR vs Virtus.pro

MIBR
2
BO3
Virtus.pro
1

MIBR beat Virtus.pro 2–1 at PGL Astana 2025 on May 14, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map MIBR Virtus.pro Winner
1 Mirage 13 11 MIBR
2 Anubis 5 13 Virtus.pro
3 Ancient 13 11 MIBR

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Virtus.pro the favourite here, giving MIBR a 46% chance going in. The upset moved MIBR's rating +12 points to 1,460 as it stood that day.

The two had met 2 times before this, with MIBR ahead on 1–1 — so this result took the head-to-head to 2–1.

MIBR came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

MIBR Elo after
1,460
+12 from this match
Virtus.pro Elo after
1,461
-12 from this match
Model call going in
46%
MIBR to win

Head to head before this match

MIBR 1–1 Virtus.pro across 2 meetings.

DateEventResult
Jan 31, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2025 Play-In MIBR 0–2 Virtus.pro
Nov 30, 2024 Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 Opening Virtus.pro 0–1 MIBR

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapMIBRVirtus.pro
Mirage 5–10 8–9
Anubis 10–9 4–7
Ancient 5–7 10–16

Form going in

MIBR

W vs paiN May 13
L vs FURIA May 12
L vs The MongolZ May 11
W vs G2 May 10
L vs Liquid Apr 23

Virtus.pro

L vs Astralis May 13
W vs BIG May 12
W vs M80 May 11
L vs Ninjas in Pyjamas May 10
L vs FlyQuest Apr 22

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.