← all matches · PGL Astana 2025 · May 12, 2025

Astralis vs Spirit

Astralis
0
BO3
Spirit
2

Spirit beat Astralis 2–0 at PGL Astana 2025 on May 12, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Astralis Spirit Winner
1 Dust2 7 13 Spirit
2 Ancient 5 13 Spirit

What the result was worth

Our Elo model favoured Spirit at 77% going in, and the result moved their rating +7 points to 1,718 as it stood that day.

The two had met 3 times before this, with Spirit ahead on 3–0 — so this result took the head-to-head to 4–0.

Spirit came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Astralis Elo after
1,493
-8 from this match
Spirit Elo after
1,718
+7 from this match
Model call going in
23%
Astralis to win

Head to head before this match

Astralis 0–3 Spirit across 3 meetings.

DateEventResult
Feb 2, 2025 Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2025 Spirit 2–0 Astralis
Nov 2, 2024 BLAST Premier: World Final 2024 Astralis 1–2 Spirit
Sep 26, 2024 BLAST Premier: Fall Final 2024 Astralis 1–2 Spirit

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapAstralisSpirit
Dust2 3–11 24–6
Ancient 11–11 8–6

Form going in

Astralis

W vs paiN May 11
W vs ODDIK May 10
L vs B8 Apr 17
W vs BIG Apr 16
L vs Metizport Apr 16

Spirit

W vs Ninjas in Pyjamas May 11
W vs GamerLegion May 10
L vs Vitality May 3
W vs Wildcard May 2
L vs Falcons May 1

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.