← all matches · Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025 · April 23, 2025

Natus Vincere vs Liquid

Natus Vincere
1
BO3
Liquid
2

Liquid beat Natus Vincere 2–1 at Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne 2025 on April 23, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Natus Vincere Liquid Winner
1 Anubis 6 13 Liquid
2 Inferno 13 10 Natus Vincere
3 Ancient 8 13 Liquid

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Natus Vincere the favourite here, giving Liquid a 33% chance going in. The upset moved Liquid's rating +16 points to 1,491 as it stood that day.

The two had met 2 times before this, with Liquid ahead on 0–2 — so this result took the head-to-head to 1–2.

Liquid came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Natus Vincere Elo after
1,585
-16 from this match
Liquid Elo after
1,491
+16 from this match
Model call going in
67%
Natus Vincere to win

Head to head before this match

Natus Vincere 2–0 Liquid across 2 meetings.

DateEventResult
Dec 5, 2024 Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024 Natus Vincere 1–0 Liquid
Oct 7, 2024 Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024 Natus Vincere 2–1 Liquid

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapNatus VincereLiquid
Anubis 4–2 14–8
Inferno 11–9 10–7
Ancient 15–7 8–7

Form going in

Natus Vincere

W vs FlyQuest Apr 23
L vs Falcons Apr 22
W vs MIBR Apr 21
L vs Spirit Mar 28
L vs Eternal Fire Mar 24

Liquid

W vs MIBR Apr 23
L vs Vitality Apr 22
W vs Virtus.pro Apr 21
L vs The MongolZ Apr 8
L vs Virtus.pro Apr 7

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.