← all matches · PGL Bucharest 2025 · April 6, 2025

Aurora vs paiN

Aurora
2
BO3
paiN
1

Aurora beat paiN 2–1 at PGL Bucharest 2025 on April 6, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Aurora paiN Winner
1 Nuke 13 8 Aurora
2 Inferno 14 16 paiN
3 Dust2 19 17 Aurora

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made paiN the favourite here, giving Aurora a 43% chance going in. The upset moved Aurora's rating +12 points to 1,446 as it stood that day.

Aurora came into the series having won 1 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Aurora Elo after
1,446
+12 from this match
paiN Elo after
1,467
-12 from this match
Model call going in
43%
Aurora to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapAurorapaiN
Nuke 1–0 10–6
Inferno 0–1 3–11
Dust2 0–2 7–9

Form going in

Aurora

L vs Spirit Nov 22
W vs B8 Nov 21
L vs Eternal Fire Nov 21
L vs M80 Oct 24
L vs BIG Oct 24

paiN

L vs Eternal Fire Mar 10
L vs Natus Vincere Mar 9
W vs GamerLegion Mar 8
L vs G2 Mar 7
W vs Nemiga Mar 5

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.