← all matches · ESL Pro League Season 21 Play-in · March 5, 2025

paiN vs Nemiga

paiN
2
BO3
Nemiga
1

paiN beat Nemiga 2–1 at ESL Pro League Season 21 Play-in on March 5, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map paiN Nemiga Winner
1 Train 7 13 Nemiga
2 Mirage 13 9 paiN
3 Dust2 13 11 paiN

What the result was worth

Our Elo model favoured paiN at 53% going in, and the result moved their rating +11 points to 1,506 as it stood that day.

paiN came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

paiN Elo after
1,506
+11 from this match
Nemiga Elo after
1,461
-10 from this match
Model call going in
53%
paiN to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MappaiNNemiga
Train 1–2
Mirage 8–7 3–5
Dust2 6–9 4–0

Form going in

paiN

W vs Lynn Vision Mar 4
L vs FlyQuest Mar 3
L vs M80 Mar 2
W vs Housebets Mar 1
L vs MOUZ Feb 21

Nemiga

W vs HEROIC Mar 4
W vs Mindfreak Mar 3
L vs NRG Mar 2
L vs MIBR Mar 1
L vs Metizport Feb 11

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.