← all matches · ESL Pro League Season 21 Play-in · March 4, 2025
HEROIC vs Nemiga
Nemiga beat HEROIC 2–1 at ESL Pro League Season 21 Play-in on March 4, 2025 in a BO3 series.
Maps
| # | Map | HEROIC | Nemiga | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dust2 | 14 | 16 | Nemiga |
| 2 | Mirage | 13 | 6 | HEROIC |
| 3 | Train | 11 | 13 | Nemiga |
What the result was worth
Our Elo model made HEROIC the favourite here, giving Nemiga a 39% chance going in. The upset moved Nemiga's rating +14 points to 1,471 as it stood that day.
Nemiga came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.
These maps, before this series
Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.
| Map | HEROIC | Nemiga |
|---|---|---|
| Dust2 | 9–7 | 3–0 |
| Mirage | 12–4 | 3–4 |
| Train | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Form going in
HEROIC
Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.
Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.