← all matches · PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 · February 16, 2025

Falcons vs Astralis

Falcons
2
BO3
Astralis
1

Falcons beat Astralis 2–1 at PGL Cluj-Napoca 2025 on February 16, 2025 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Falcons Astralis Winner
1 Ancient 6 13 Astralis
2 Dust2 13 7 Falcons
3 Nuke 13 6 Falcons

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Astralis the favourite here, giving Falcons a 39% chance going in. The upset moved Falcons's rating +14 points to 1,456 as it stood that day.

Falcons came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Falcons Elo after
1,456
+14 from this match
Astralis Elo after
1,502
-14 from this match
Model call going in
39%
Falcons to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapFalconsAstralis
Ancient 2–4 4–6
Dust2 5–2 2–5
Nuke 2–5 7–3

Form going in

Falcons

L vs paiN Feb 15
W vs FlyQuest Feb 14
W vs BetBoom Feb 10
W vs TNL Feb 10
L vs G2 Feb 2

Astralis

W vs SAW Feb 15
L vs paiN Feb 14
W vs BetBoom Feb 11
W vs Zero Tenacity Feb 11
L vs BC.Game Feb 10

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.