← all matches · Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024: European RMR A · November 18, 2024

Natus Vincere vs MOUZ

Natus Vincere
1
BO3
MOUZ
2

MOUZ beat Natus Vincere 2–1 at Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024: European RMR A on November 18, 2024 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Natus Vincere MOUZ Winner
1 Mirage 13 4 Natus Vincere
2 Dust2 8 13 MOUZ
3 Inferno 7 13 MOUZ

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Natus Vincere the favourite here, giving MOUZ a 43% chance going in. The upset moved MOUZ's rating +13 points to 1,529 as it stood that day.

The two had met 1 time before this, with MOUZ ahead on 0–1 — so this result took the head-to-head to 1–1.

MOUZ came into the series having won 2 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Natus Vincere Elo after
1,553
-13 from this match
MOUZ Elo after
1,529
+13 from this match
Model call going in
57%
Natus Vincere to win

Head to head before this match

Natus Vincere 1–0 MOUZ across 1 meeting.

DateEventResult
Oct 13, 2024 Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024 MOUZ 1–3 Natus Vincere

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapNatus VincereMOUZ
Mirage 3–4 3–3
Dust2 6–1 2–3
Inferno 6–4 4–1

Form going in

Natus Vincere

W vs SINNERS Nov 17
W vs fnatic Nov 17
L vs FaZe Oct 31
L vs Astralis Oct 30
W vs MOUZ Oct 13

MOUZ

W vs Nemiga Nov 17
L vs Vitality Nov 1
L vs Astralis Oct 31
W vs FaZe Oct 30
L vs Natus Vincere Oct 13

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.