← all matches · Thunderpick World Championship 2024 · November 3, 2024

HEROIC vs The MongolZ

HEROIC
1
BO5
The MongolZ
3

The MongolZ beat HEROIC 3–1 at Thunderpick World Championship 2024 on November 3, 2024 in a BO5 series.

Maps

# Map HEROIC The MongolZ Winner
1 Dust2 8 13 The MongolZ
2 Ancient 13 6 HEROIC
3 Anubis 11 13 The MongolZ
4 Mirage 2 13 The MongolZ

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made HEROIC the favourite here, giving The MongolZ a 42% chance going in. The upset moved The MongolZ's rating +21 points to 1,565 as it stood that day.

The MongolZ came into the series having won 4 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

HEROIC Elo after
1,581
-21 from this match
The MongolZ Elo after
1,565
+21 from this match
Model call going in
58%
HEROIC to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapHEROICThe MongolZ
Dust2 5–3 3–1
Ancient 6–0 2–3
Anubis 4–1 2–2
Mirage 3–1 5–2

Form going in

HEROIC

W vs OG Nov 2
W vs fnatic Oct 26
W vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Oct 23
W vs Legacy Oct 23
L vs ENCE Oct 20

The MongolZ

W vs 3DMAX Nov 2
W vs Imperial Oct 26
W vs fnatic Oct 22
W vs Cloud9 Oct 22
L vs ENCE Oct 19

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.