← all matches · BLAST Premier: World Final 2024 · October 30, 2024

Natus Vincere vs Astralis

Natus Vincere
0
BO3
Astralis
2

Astralis beat Natus Vincere 2–0 at BLAST Premier: World Final 2024 on October 30, 2024 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Natus Vincere Astralis Winner
1 Nuke 6 13 Astralis
2 Mirage 6 13 Astralis

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Natus Vincere the favourite here, giving Astralis a 32% chance going in. The upset moved Astralis's rating +25 points to 1,478 as it stood that day.

Astralis came into the series having won 1 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

Natus Vincere Elo after
1,561
-26 from this match
Astralis Elo after
1,478
+25 from this match
Model call going in
68%
Natus Vincere to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapNatus VincereAstralis
Nuke 1–3 —
Mirage 3–2 0–3

Form going in

Natus Vincere

W vs MOUZ Oct 13
W vs HEROIC Oct 12
W vs Virtus.pro Oct 11
L vs FURIA Oct 9
W vs Liquid Oct 7

Astralis

L vs Virtus.pro Oct 9
L vs HEROIC Oct 8
W vs Eternal Fire Oct 7
L vs Spirit Sep 26
L vs Vitality Sep 25

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.