← all matches · Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024 · October 12, 2024

HEROIC vs Natus Vincere

HEROIC
1
BO3
Natus Vincere
2

Natus Vincere beat HEROIC 2–1 at Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024 on October 12, 2024 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map HEROIC Natus Vincere Winner
1 Ancient 13 9 HEROIC
2 Dust2 14 16 Natus Vincere
3 Mirage 6 13 Natus Vincere

What the result was worth

Our Elo model had this one as close to even — neither side carried enough of a rating edge to be called the favourite. The result moved Natus Vincere's rating +11 points to 1,571 as it stood that day.

Natus Vincere came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.

HEROIC Elo after
1,542
-11 from this match
Natus Vincere Elo after
1,571
+11 from this match
Model call going in
49%
HEROIC to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapHEROICNatus Vincere
Ancient 2–0 7–1
Dust2 2–0 4–1
Mirage 3–0 2–1

Form going in

HEROIC

W vs Vitality Oct 9
W vs Astralis Oct 8
W vs G2 Oct 7
L vs MIBR Sep 18
W vs Virtus.pro Sep 17

Natus Vincere

W vs Virtus.pro Oct 11
L vs FURIA Oct 9
W vs Liquid Oct 7
W vs Imperial Oct 7
L vs Vitality Oct 5

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.