← all matches · Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024 · October 11, 2024

Vitality vs MOUZ

Vitality
1
BO3
MOUZ
2

MOUZ beat Vitality 2–1 at Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2024 on October 11, 2024 in a BO3 series.

Maps

# Map Vitality MOUZ Winner
1 Mirage 13 7 Vitality
2 Nuke 11 13 MOUZ
3 Inferno 10 13 MOUZ

What the result was worth

Our Elo model made Vitality the favourite here, giving MOUZ a 46% chance going in. The upset moved MOUZ's rating +12 points to 1,524 as it stood that day.

MOUZ came into the series having won 3 of their previous 4 matches on record here.

Vitality Elo after
1,529
-12 from this match
MOUZ Elo after
1,524
+12 from this match
Model call going in
54%
Vitality to win

These maps, before this series

Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.

MapVitalityMOUZ
Mirage 1–2 1–1
Nuke 4–0 1–1
Inferno 2–1 1–0

Form going in

Vitality

L vs HEROIC Oct 9
W vs The MongolZ Oct 8
W vs 9z Oct 7
W vs Natus Vincere Oct 5
L vs G2 Sep 28

MOUZ

W vs FaZe Oct 9
W vs Complexity Oct 8
L vs FURIA Oct 7
W vs paiN Oct 7

Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.

Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.