← all matches · Best Of 1 · October 5, 2024
Natus Vincere vs Vitality
Vitality beat Natus Vincere 2–1 at Best Of 1 on October 5, 2024 in a BO1 series.
No map-by-map data is available for this match yet — the next sync after the match is finalised will fill it in.
What the result was worth
Our Elo model made Natus Vincere the favourite here, giving Vitality a 44% chance going in. The upset moved Vitality's rating +12 points to 1,534 as it stood that day.
Vitality came into the series having won 3 of their previous 5 matches on record here.
Form going in
Natus Vincere
Vitality
Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.
Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.