← all matches · ESL Pro League Season 20 · September 20, 2024
Natus Vincere vs Spirit
Natus Vincere beat Spirit 2–0 at ESL Pro League Season 20 on September 20, 2024 in a BO3 series.
Maps
| # | Map | Natus Vincere | Spirit | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dust2 | 13 | 5 | Natus Vincere |
| 2 | Mirage | 13 | 9 | Natus Vincere |
What the result was worth
Our Elo model made Spirit the favourite here, giving Natus Vincere a 45% chance going in. The upset moved Natus Vincere's rating +20 points to 1,520 as it stood that day.
These maps, before this series
Each side's record on these maps going into the match — the series above is not counted, so the numbers are the form the two teams brought with them rather than the result of it.
| Map | Natus Vincere | Spirit |
|---|---|---|
| Dust2 | — | 1–0 |
| Mirage | — | — |
Form going in
Elo here is our own opponent-weighted rating as it stood on the day, replayed from the results available then — not where the two sides stand now, which is on strength ratings, where the method is written out. How often the model has been right is on the prediction accuracy page.
Not betting advice. Every percentage on this page describes what past results imply, not what will happen. The model knows match results and nothing else — it cannot see a roster change until the new lineup has played, and it has no opinion on map vetoes or on whether a match is online or on LAN. We publish its hit rate and calibration so you can judge it for yourself. No bookmaker odds or affiliate links appear on this site.